Jevon’s paradox

Jevons paradox is an economic theory stating that increased efficiency in using a resource can lead to increased, rather than decreased, overall consumption of that resource.

First known from Wardley Maps, here is the latest ref

Jevons Paradox & The Rebound Effectarrow-up-right

AI Overview

Jevons paradox is an economic theory stating that increased efficiency in using a resource can lead to increased, rather than decreased, overall consumption of that resource. Named after economist William Stanley Jevonsarrow-up-right, this occurs because efficiency improvements lower the cost per unit of the resource, which stimulates greater demand and potentially new uses, ultimately increasing total consumption. A classic example is how more efficient steam engines led to increased coal use because it made coal a cheaper energy source, driving broader industrial growth.

How it Works

  1. 1. Technological Progress & Efficiency:A new technology is developed that makes it more efficient to use a resource.

  2. 2. Lower Costs:The increased efficiency makes the resource cheaper to use per unit of output.

  3. 3. Increased Demand:Because it's cheaper, more people and industries begin using the resource, and existing users consume more of it.

  4. 4. Overall Consumption Rises:The increased demand from broader use and new applications can outweigh the efficiency gains per unit, leading to a higher total consumption of the resource.

Example: Steam Engines and Coal

  • The Innovation: James Wattarrow-up-right's improved steam engine made coal a more efficient fuel source.

  • The Paradox: Instead of coal consumption decreasing, its use skyrocketed.

  • The Reason: The lower cost of energy from more efficient engines spurred economic growth and the development of new industries and transportation, which required vast amounts of coal.

Modern Implications

  • Digital Technology:Even though individual computers and data centers are more efficient, the explosion in their numbers and usage has led to a substantial increase in overall energy demand.

  • Fuel-Efficient Cars:Cheaper-to-run vehicles might encourage people to drive more miles or buy more cars, increasing total fuel consumption despite the better mileage per mile.

  • LED Lightingarrow-up-right:Cheaper, more efficient LED bulbs can lead to more lighting being used in homes and businesses, such as lighting outdoor spaces, leading to higher overall energy consumption.

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